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Leonhardt van Efferink, editor of ExploringGeopolitics, will be convening a Country Risk Analysis Summer School at Maastricht University from 22 July until 2 August 2013. The module discusses how banks and rating agencies analyse and respond to economic and political trends in Emerging Markets and Developing Countries. It will also address the dynamics between geopolitical processes and country risk assessments. For more information:
Leonhardt van Efferink holds an MA in Geopolitics, Territory and Security of King's College London and an MSc in Financial Economics of Erasmus University Rotterdam. He is Trainer-Consultant with GeoMeans, Lecturer at the University of Amsterdam and PhD student at Royal Holloway (University of London). Mr Van Efferink worked for more than 10 years as (senior) country risk analyst, with Atradius, Rabobank and ING.
The world economy is quickly changing. While the US, many EU countries and Japan suffer from low or negative economic growth, various Emerging Markets and Developing Countries keep on recording (very) high growth rates. One of the consequences is that China has become the world’s second-largest economy and some say it will take over the number one position of the US later this century.
However, history has shown us that realised growth cannot simply be assumed to continue in the future. Political instability, a foreign debt crisis, a banking sector collapse, government insolvency or a global economic downturn could swiftly reverse the growth prospects of a country.
This raises the question how we can interpret economic and political developments, and the related structural qualities of a country.
The module “Country Risk Analysis” teaches you how banks and rating agencies analyse and respond to economic and political trends in Emerging Markets and Developing Countries. How do they define different forms of risk? What indicators are included in their research? Why is it so difficult to model country risk?
You are encouraged to actively engage with the provided insights by writing a report that compares two countries. The assignment includes the development of a small country risk model. To help you translate real-life events into an interpretative framework, the module also offers workshops about timely issues such natural resource dependence and popular uprisings (e.g. Arab Spring). Furthermore, guest speakers from multinational companies will explain how country risk affects their business.
The module in a nutshell:
Leonhardt van Efferink, editor of EG, will be convening a Country Risk Analysis Summer School at Maastricht University in July/August: